Tight
supply, greater demand and rising fuel costs are propelling
retail beef prices to near record highs in the United
States, according to U.S. Department of Agriculture's
Economic Research Service.
Retail prices for choice beef averaged $4.25 per pound
in April, second only to the $4.32 per pound logged in
November 2003, shortly after the United States barred
imports of Canadian beef.
ERS expects June prices to drop to a range of $4.00 to
$4.10 in June as supplies increase and the initial summer
spike in grilling eases.
Average beef prices have climbed steadily in the past
five years, from $2.87 per pound in 1999 to $4.06 per
pound in 2004. Meanwhile, beef consumption has climbed
some 25 percent since 1998—to 27.6 billion pounds last
year.
More recent price hikes coincided with a reduction in
U.S. herd sizes, the result of widespread drought and
corresponding decreases in the grass cattle fed on. As
of Jan. 1, the nation's cattle inventory measured 95.8
million head, as compared to a peak inventory of 103.5
million head in 1996.
With the drought easing, ranchers are expanding herds
for the first time since 1999.